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Barnes Is Back, by John Bartel

Robert Barnes (RB) was in the hospital for almost two weeks with a back injury. He has been in pain. Doctor asked if he had been poisoned. RB said no. He voice was a little weak at the start, and he faded towards the end. He was in good spirits throughout.

Viva Frei asked RB to recount his election predictions, which were very accurate.

RB said he predicted in August 2024 that 150M-155M votes would get cast. Predicted Trump would get 75-77M votes (78M actual), Harris would get 72M-74M (74M actual), 312-319 Electoral Votes (312 actual).
In 2020 election, Biden got 81M votes. Won the Electoral College by carrying GA, AZ, and WI–by surprise drops of mail-in ballots. Democrats lost in 2024 because they did not realize they actually lost in 2020.
DOJ, Congress, and Governors could look at 2020 elections, or at down ticket state elections in 2024.
Prospects for reforming state counting rules are tough. It is difficult to get a consistent set of elections in the US for federal elections. There is one rule for presidential elections, and another rule for Congressional elections. Legal challenges are a quagmire.

Need a return to paper ballots with checking for valid IDs. Way to force this is for the federal government to cut funding to local election offices. This will get their attention.
RB on the threats to WW3, particularly latest Biden Admin decision to allow Ukraine to use American long-range missiles on targets inside Russia.

Trump is clearly working to get peace deals in motion prior to his inauguration. He reached out to Biden Admin to avoid escalation prior to his inauguration. Biden Admin does not appear to support.
Trump wants peace deals in Ukraine, Middle East (ME), North Korea, and Cuba. He wants peace deals quickly.
Cuban economy is in serious trouble. Lockdowns destroyed an economy based on tourism. Sees Rubio selection as Secretary of State as a way to make a Cuba deal and sell it to Cubans in Florida.
Claims that Trump met with a key ME money man at UFC event in Madison Squares Garden. Things are in motion but Trump is keeping his moves very quiet.

RB on Matt Gaetz (MG), Trump’s pick for DOJ AG.

Sees MG as the RFK Jr. of the right. He has family money, does not need politics. Is in office to make a difference. Is an enemy of the Deep State (DS). Defended 1/6 defendants and Alex Jones.
Was investigated by FBI over a sex with minors charge when MG was considering a run for a FL state position. Absurd charge, but very damaging publicity. Shows DS was scared of him. Charge was dropped after MG did not do a state run.

“MG as AG is the best example of the possibility of genuine reform, the best in my lifetime.”
A major lawyer is about to release a detailed discussion on recess appointments. Watch for it.
Believes Trump will get his cabinet picks. He is being very quiet on his approach, but he working very hard behind the scenes to get approval. Trump is careful in his battles. He believes Trump sees his primary mission before inauguration is peace in the world.
RB on attempts by DS/bureacracy to fight back.

Congress does not have political juice. Thune and Jonson are not McConnell, who had deep political support.
Trump is willing to do deals to get his picks approved. He is also signaling that there will be accountability for those in the executive branch who resist his orders.
The plan is being openly discussed to review the conduct of three and four star generals and admirals for their behavior over the past eight years. Sends a clear message that if they continue to play games there will be repercussions.

“Generals are used to smoking cigars over the Kennedy autopsy body. Now, it is retire early or you will get the Benedict Arnold treatment.”
Must see serious offenders facing real charges. Start with Gates, Soros, and Fauci. One at least must face prosecution.

Believes Trump has a coordinated plan to defang both the war machine and domestic lawfare. Does not expect he will release this publicly until after inauguration. He has his opponents guessing–wants to keep it that way. He sees his opponents as weak and confused. They don’t understand Trump, RFK Jr., Tulsi.
RB on how to avoid future problems after Trump’s term is up.

Must be genuine relief for vaccine injuries.
Must be genuine relief for crime/damage by illegal aliens.
Need consequences to extend to both political parties.
We need full institutional reform. Should have a lawfare committee and a pardon committee. Make it a learning experience by showing the impact on individual victims.
RB on farmers and RFK Jr.

RFK’s first clients were farmers and fishermen. Farmers should be close friends with RFK.
RFK has said that environmentalism has been turned into making CO2 the number one issue. Total disconnect. We need clean air, clean water, healthy food.

Amish farmers love RFK. Their eyes light up when his name is mentioned.
Big Agriculture does not like RFK, for good reason!
RB said he has never been a fan of military tribunals.

Comment on Anne Selzer, long-time Iowa pollster retiring.

She was never that good at polling. Could poll Democrat Caucas, but totally failed repeatedly on Republican Caucus.

Her last poll before election was typically within 1-2 points of final results. This time she picke Harris +3. Trump won Iowa +14. Selzer is a phoney, got paid off and is now history.
Accurate polling is very difficult. You talk to one thousand people and then predict how 160M voters are going to vote. Is this possible? There is an art and a science to polling. The best pollsters, like Baris, are always reviewing their methodology, looking for biases or errors.

RB on the rumored naming of Thomas Massie as Secretary of Agriculture: “Perfect!”

RB on Rubio as Secretary of State.

Rubio’s father was from Cuba. Rubio, like his father, is anti-Castro.
Rubio has no strong beliefs. Trump views him as a good diplomat and a good delivery guy.
Likens Rubio to Obama. Both like prestige, but neither one is a policy nerd.
Believes Rubio will follow Trump’s effort to broker peace deals on all the major world hot spots.
RB promised to discuss Alex Jones/Infowars, but ran out of energy at the end. If he is feeling up to it, he will join Richard Baris on his What Are the Odds podcast on 11/18.

https://www.lewrockwell.com/lrc-blog/barnes-is-back/

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Let us all gather to mock Ann Selzer 😂

Here's the vlawg.

I threw in some more Lichtman mockery as well.

00:12:03
November 16, 2024
Our loot from the craft fair

We got some great stuff today!

00:02:14
November 15, 2024
This just happened and it was glorious!

Straight up no truck. JUST PURE GLORY!!!

00:00:45
February 17, 2024
Appearance on Richard Syrette

I did a quick hit on Richard Syrette yesterday. Gotta keep Canadians apprised of the U.S. madness.

Appearance on Richard Syrette
The Barnes Brief, Podcast Format: Monday, July 17, 2023

Closing Argument: Birthright citizenship is deeply American, and wholly Constitutional.

The Barnes Brief, Podcast Format: Monday, July 17, 2023
Declaration of Independence

Audio podcast style.

Declaration of Independence
Tipped comments

Hi everyone, I realize I missed a bunch of tipped questions. Sorry boot that eh. I screen-captured them and sent all of them over to Robert as well.

I will get to them during a stream this week. I’m sure Robert will get to some of them as well.

Thank you all for your understanding! And Robert thank you again for all of the thoughts and prayers. It’s been a tumultuous 10 days.

Godspeed!

Hummmmmmmm?

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The Barnes Brief: Friday, October 25, 2024

Schedule: Past & Prospective

Art of the Day: The pride of skill, the mastery of craft, the aesthetic of labor as the anesthetic answer to a commodified, corporatized, dehumanized life imagined for the working class by distant elites. The deindustrialization of America damaged the soul of America, as it replaced empowering honest labor with numbers on a balance sheet of a bureaucratized, soul-lobotomized number-cruncher. Rebalancing the productive economy requires respecting honest work that produces real and tangible value beyond dollars and cents.   

Book Recommendation: Working class rebellion of the 1970s. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/8614946-stayin-alive?

Wisdom of the Day: “Work is just living out the script to Office Space. We don’t devalue work; work devalues us.” Gen Z worker explaining the antipathy of the Gen Z to the modern workplace.

 

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The Barnes Brief: Friday, October 18, 2024

Schedule: Past & Prospective

Past

What Are The Odds:

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Upcoming

LIVE Friday Night Betting w/ Barnes at 9pm: https://sportspicks.locals.com/post/6244428/betting-w-barnes-ama-friday-october-18-2024

Saturday Movie: TBD by Board Poll

Sunday: Law for the People w/ Viva

Art of the Day: Needed: an old school study with fireplace, deep leather chairs, the requisite humidor, oil paintings on the wall of ancestors, plush carpets on hardwood floors, old cognac and elegant bourbon in the cabinet, a few classic books on the shelves, and memorable conversations for generations.

Book Recommendation: Operation Ajax: a trip down memory lane. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/21056774-operation-ajax

Wisdom of the Day: “A doctrine derived from the premise that the King can do no wrong deserves no place in American law.” Law Professor Cherminsky.

Closing Argument: Too Much Immunity

 

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The Barnes Brief: October 11, 2024

Schedule: Past & Prospective

Past

What Are The Odds:

placeholder

Upcoming

LIVE Friday Night Betting w/ Barnes: https://sportspicks.locals.com/post/6217286/betting-with-barnes-friday-october-11-2024

Saturday Movie: TBD by Board Poll

Sunday: Law for the People w/ Viva

Closing Argument: The Story Polls Tell Us

Book Recommendation: An argument for Trump-style economics from three decades ago by one of the most prescient political analysts of American modern history. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/693546.Staying_on_Top

Art of the Day: I don’t know how impractical it might be, but I’ve always wanted to build a home containing glass ceilings and glass floors in varying parts of the home, to immerse the living space into the outer environment, feeling the skies above and the dirt below, with a special fondness for window views, like clear sky or mountain views from above and river or creek views outside and below. This image captures part of that fascination.

Wisdom of the Day: "Why you talkin' about abortion when we can't feed our kids?" Black woman voter in Las Vegas explaining to a journalist why she's voting Trump over Harris. 

The Merits: Top Five Curated Articles from The Barnes Library

1)  Economy: Recession began in 2022. https://brownstone.org/articles/recession-since-2022-us-economic-income-and-output-have-fallen-overall-for-four-years/

2)  Politics: Climate change is a political loser. https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-clean-energy-transitions-voter

3)  Geopolitics: Journalist arrested in Israel. https://theintercept.com/2024/10/11/us-journalist-jeremy-loffredo-released-israel-detained/

4)  History: NAFTA. https://www.epi.org/publication/briefingpapers_bp147/

5)  Culture: Big Pharma’s “studies” exposed.  https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/730383

Homework: Top 10 Cases TBD on Sunday

I.              SCOTUS restarts. https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/10/fourteen-cases-to-watch-from-the-supreme-courts-end-of-summer-long-conference/

II.           Trump NY Appeal.

III.        Amos Miller argument.

IV.         Banks funding cartels. https://www.courthousenews.com/td-bank-to-pay-3-billion-for-allowing-drug-cartels-to-launder-money/

V.           Court clerks strike? https://www.courthousenews.com/san-francisco-superior-court-clerks-authorize-strike/

VI.         Crypto vs Biden continues. https://www.courthousenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/crypto-sec-lawsuit.pdf

VII.      Roger Ver Indictment problems. https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1350116/dl?inline

VIII.   J6 informant evidence missing. https://www.zerohedge.com/political/doj-blames-fbi-informant-deleting-jan-6-evidence

IX.        Cakeshop owner wins final battle. https://www.coloradojudicial.gov/system/files/opinions-2024-10/23SC116.pdf

X.           Senate candidate exposed. https://www.azcourts.gov/Portals/0/OpinionFiles/Div1/2024/1%20CA-CV%2024-0527%20Gallego-Gallego%20v.%20Wa%20Free%20Beacon.pdf

Closing Argument: The Story Polls Tell Us

  • Let’s contrast 2020 to 2024 using one of the most established media supported polls that abandoned election-eve polling after 2012 due to the difficulties faced in predictive surveying of the modern electorate – due to disparate rate of response from different constituencies as landlines disappeared, do-not-call lists blocked prospective pollsters, and other modern methods of text polling, cell-phone polling, automated polling, and online polling proved littered with landmines and traps for the unskilled or unethical. What we can do, though, is compare like-to-like: how is 2024 shaping up differently than 2020, using the same final October poll of the same pollster using the same modes and methods, Pew.
  • In their final 2020 poll, Pew forecast a ten-point Biden win. In their final 2024 poll, Harris holds a within-the-margin-of-error one-point slim lead. Where are the biggest demographic shifts?
  • This is the shift in margin from Biden to Trump in Pew’s final polls. Men shift from Biden to Trump by 12 points. Voters without any college degree shift from Biden to Trump by 13 points. Black voters shift from Biden to Trump by 15 points. Hispanic voters shift from Biden to Trump by 18 points. White non-Hispanic Catholics shift from Scranton Joe to Trump-Vance by 18 points. Independent voters shift from Biden to Trump by 20 points. Asian voters shift from Biden to Trump by 21 points. Non-college black and Hispanic movers shift from Biden to Trump by 21 points. Black men shift from Biden to Trump by 25 points. Hispanic women shift from Biden to Trump by 25 points. New voters shift from Biden to Trump by 25 points. Millennial voters shift from Biden to Trump by 27 points.
  • Hone down and almost all of the loss of Harris’ vote share from Biden comes primarily from self-described Independent, working-class, non-college, millennial, and minority men, unhappy with the economy, immigration and foreign war risk. Just one more data-point confirming what we’ve been predicting here for the better part of a year. The multi-color new coalition of the Emerging Majority is here, and it’s favorite color is Trump Orange.  
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