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Questions for Bourbon with Barnes: Halloween, 2024

Ask in replies & answering Live at 9ish eastern tonight...

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Mark Cuban insulting Republican women

It’s really amazing… Within one week, Kamala and Tim have called Trump supporters Nazis.

Biden has called them garbage.

And now Mark Cuban has called Republican women stupid.

It’s really bad. And I hope Beyond hope that it gets reflected accordingly on Tuesday.

00:00:29
October 30, 2024
Made it back in time!

Live at 3:30.

00:01:14
October 30, 2024
Update for the day

A message to my fellow 100 million “Nazi garbage”

00:06:26
February 17, 2024
Appearance on Richard Syrette

I did a quick hit on Richard Syrette yesterday. Gotta keep Canadians apprised of the U.S. madness.

Appearance on Richard Syrette
The Barnes Brief, Podcast Format: Monday, July 17, 2023

Closing Argument: Birthright citizenship is deeply American, and wholly Constitutional.

The Barnes Brief, Podcast Format: Monday, July 17, 2023
Declaration of Independence

Audio podcast style.

Declaration of Independence
Marion’s Halloween display

I haven’t been able to get into Halloween since we moved to Florida. Something about the weather and the holiday that seem mutually incompatible.

That, and my neighbor has a display that is simply unbeatable so I’m not even tempted to compete.

But Marion put up this Halloween display. You can tell she did it because she painted all of the pumpkins as eyeballs! (She is a PhD neuroscientist who worked on eyeballs)

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Questions for Bourbon with Barnes: Wednesday, October 30, 2024

Ask in replies & answering Live at 9ish eastern tonight...I

Biden’s garbage remark

This is fantastic. Elise Stefanik and James Comer have sent a preservation of evidence letter regarding the falsification of the transcript of Biden‘s garbage comment.

Probably not enough time for this to be the October surprise, or even get answered before the election, but will be following.

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The Barnes Brief: Friday, October 25, 2024

Schedule: Past & Prospective

Art of the Day: The pride of skill, the mastery of craft, the aesthetic of labor as the anesthetic answer to a commodified, corporatized, dehumanized life imagined for the working class by distant elites. The deindustrialization of America damaged the soul of America, as it replaced empowering honest labor with numbers on a balance sheet of a bureaucratized, soul-lobotomized number-cruncher. Rebalancing the productive economy requires respecting honest work that produces real and tangible value beyond dollars and cents.   

Book Recommendation: Working class rebellion of the 1970s. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/8614946-stayin-alive?

Wisdom of the Day: “Work is just living out the script to Office Space. We don’t devalue work; work devalues us.” Gen Z worker explaining the antipathy of the Gen Z to the modern workplace.

 

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The Barnes Brief: Friday, October 18, 2024

Schedule: Past & Prospective

Past

What Are The Odds:

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Upcoming

LIVE Friday Night Betting w/ Barnes at 9pm: https://sportspicks.locals.com/post/6244428/betting-w-barnes-ama-friday-october-18-2024

Saturday Movie: TBD by Board Poll

Sunday: Law for the People w/ Viva

Art of the Day: Needed: an old school study with fireplace, deep leather chairs, the requisite humidor, oil paintings on the wall of ancestors, plush carpets on hardwood floors, old cognac and elegant bourbon in the cabinet, a few classic books on the shelves, and memorable conversations for generations.

Book Recommendation: Operation Ajax: a trip down memory lane. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/21056774-operation-ajax

Wisdom of the Day: “A doctrine derived from the premise that the King can do no wrong deserves no place in American law.” Law Professor Cherminsky.

Closing Argument: Too Much Immunity

 

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The Barnes Brief: October 11, 2024

Schedule: Past & Prospective

Past

What Are The Odds:

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Upcoming

LIVE Friday Night Betting w/ Barnes: https://sportspicks.locals.com/post/6217286/betting-with-barnes-friday-october-11-2024

Saturday Movie: TBD by Board Poll

Sunday: Law for the People w/ Viva

Closing Argument: The Story Polls Tell Us

Book Recommendation: An argument for Trump-style economics from three decades ago by one of the most prescient political analysts of American modern history. https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/693546.Staying_on_Top

Art of the Day: I don’t know how impractical it might be, but I’ve always wanted to build a home containing glass ceilings and glass floors in varying parts of the home, to immerse the living space into the outer environment, feeling the skies above and the dirt below, with a special fondness for window views, like clear sky or mountain views from above and river or creek views outside and below. This image captures part of that fascination.

Wisdom of the Day: "Why you talkin' about abortion when we can't feed our kids?" Black woman voter in Las Vegas explaining to a journalist why she's voting Trump over Harris. 

The Merits: Top Five Curated Articles from The Barnes Library

1)  Economy: Recession began in 2022. https://brownstone.org/articles/recession-since-2022-us-economic-income-and-output-have-fallen-overall-for-four-years/

2)  Politics: Climate change is a political loser. https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-clean-energy-transitions-voter

3)  Geopolitics: Journalist arrested in Israel. https://theintercept.com/2024/10/11/us-journalist-jeremy-loffredo-released-israel-detained/

4)  History: NAFTA. https://www.epi.org/publication/briefingpapers_bp147/

5)  Culture: Big Pharma’s “studies” exposed.  https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/730383

Homework: Top 10 Cases TBD on Sunday

I.              SCOTUS restarts. https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/10/fourteen-cases-to-watch-from-the-supreme-courts-end-of-summer-long-conference/

II.           Trump NY Appeal.

III.        Amos Miller argument.

IV.         Banks funding cartels. https://www.courthousenews.com/td-bank-to-pay-3-billion-for-allowing-drug-cartels-to-launder-money/

V.           Court clerks strike? https://www.courthousenews.com/san-francisco-superior-court-clerks-authorize-strike/

VI.         Crypto vs Biden continues. https://www.courthousenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/crypto-sec-lawsuit.pdf

VII.      Roger Ver Indictment problems. https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1350116/dl?inline

VIII.   J6 informant evidence missing. https://www.zerohedge.com/political/doj-blames-fbi-informant-deleting-jan-6-evidence

IX.        Cakeshop owner wins final battle. https://www.coloradojudicial.gov/system/files/opinions-2024-10/23SC116.pdf

X.           Senate candidate exposed. https://www.azcourts.gov/Portals/0/OpinionFiles/Div1/2024/1%20CA-CV%2024-0527%20Gallego-Gallego%20v.%20Wa%20Free%20Beacon.pdf

Closing Argument: The Story Polls Tell Us

  • Let’s contrast 2020 to 2024 using one of the most established media supported polls that abandoned election-eve polling after 2012 due to the difficulties faced in predictive surveying of the modern electorate – due to disparate rate of response from different constituencies as landlines disappeared, do-not-call lists blocked prospective pollsters, and other modern methods of text polling, cell-phone polling, automated polling, and online polling proved littered with landmines and traps for the unskilled or unethical. What we can do, though, is compare like-to-like: how is 2024 shaping up differently than 2020, using the same final October poll of the same pollster using the same modes and methods, Pew.
  • In their final 2020 poll, Pew forecast a ten-point Biden win. In their final 2024 poll, Harris holds a within-the-margin-of-error one-point slim lead. Where are the biggest demographic shifts?
  • This is the shift in margin from Biden to Trump in Pew’s final polls. Men shift from Biden to Trump by 12 points. Voters without any college degree shift from Biden to Trump by 13 points. Black voters shift from Biden to Trump by 15 points. Hispanic voters shift from Biden to Trump by 18 points. White non-Hispanic Catholics shift from Scranton Joe to Trump-Vance by 18 points. Independent voters shift from Biden to Trump by 20 points. Asian voters shift from Biden to Trump by 21 points. Non-college black and Hispanic movers shift from Biden to Trump by 21 points. Black men shift from Biden to Trump by 25 points. Hispanic women shift from Biden to Trump by 25 points. New voters shift from Biden to Trump by 25 points. Millennial voters shift from Biden to Trump by 27 points.
  • Hone down and almost all of the loss of Harris’ vote share from Biden comes primarily from self-described Independent, working-class, non-college, millennial, and minority men, unhappy with the economy, immigration and foreign war risk. Just one more data-point confirming what we’ve been predicting here for the better part of a year. The multi-color new coalition of the Emerging Majority is here, and it’s favorite color is Trump Orange.  
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