- When swing state voters were asked in 2024, they overwhelmingly opposed joining any war between Israel and Iran.
- This is nothing new, as the same skepticism animated voter response during the Iran nuclear weapons panic of 2009.
- Americans do not want the US to be the dominant player on the world’s stage.
- Americans see us as overinvolved already.
- Americans do not want to risk war with nuclear powers.
- Americans no longer believe intervention solves anything.
- This reflects souring opinion on military interventions in general.
- Americans saw this all the way back to the Korean war that sunk Truman.
- They just as quickly turned on the Iraq war that crushed Bush and the Bush coalition forever.
- Part of this also reflects that Americans increasingly view Netanyahu’s Israeli government skeptically.
- Skepticism of Israel under Netanyahu is now a global phenomenon.
- The only group that a majority supports Israel over the Palestinian cause are now reduced to boomercons.
- Hence, Trump’s temporary Gaza idea was widely rejected right away by voters.
- Indeed, a surge in opposition amongst younger independent voters even has a bare majority supporting even giving military aid at all to Israel.
- Americans are even split on helping Israel against Hamas, fueled by young voter skepticism.
- Every group is trending negative toward Netanyahu’s Israel.
Hence, why so few Americans back American direct involvement in a war with Iran.