Schedule
- SkyNews
- Sheperdess Interview
- Sunday at 6 pm eastern: Law for the People w/ Viva
- LIVE from RNC Monday to Wednesday
Book Recommendation: Some Honorable Men: Political Conventions, 1960-1972 https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/374106.Some_Honorable_Men
Closing Argument: Who Are the 2024 Swing Voters?
Introduction: Top 10 Headlines of the Week
- Biden coup
- Biden won’t go
- Pew poll
- Trump VP
- Baldwin trial explodes
- Smart meter mandates
- RNC platform dissent
- Garland contempt fails
- Economy woes
- Price concerns
*Bonus: Croc invasion.
Wisdom of the Day: “But generally, center-left liberals who are doing very well, and center-right conservatives who are doing very well, have an incredible blind spot about how much their success is built on a system that is not serving people who they should be serving.” J.D. Vance.
The Evidence: Top Ten Articles Curated from The Barnes Library
- RNC Platform. https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/2024-republican-party-platform
- Project 2025. https://static.project2025.org/2025_MandateForLeadership_FULL.pdf
- The other side of Project 2025. https://www.mtracey.net/p/project-2025-is-just-project-1981
- 10.7 Failure. https://www.firstpost.com/world/israel-hamas-october-7-attack-kibbutz-beeri-military-army-failure-investigation-report-13792473.html
- Using climate change to deny us our food. https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/the-golden-age-of-the-supermarket-is-ending/ar-BB1pOS77
- Illegals voting. https://amac.us/newsline/society/house-passes-save-act-bill-to-stop-illegal-aliens-from-voting-and-safeguard-elections/
- Gabbard for VP? https://quoththeraven.substack.com/p/vice-president-tulsi-gabbard
- VP Vance? https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/13/opinion/jd-vance-interview.html
- Echo chamber campuses. https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/11/opinions/campus-protest-college-liberals-culture-wars-mit-harvard-pachipala-yu/index.html
- Sex abuse coverup. https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2024/07/10/forbidden_fruit_and_the_classroom_the_huge_american_sex-abuse_scandal_that_educators_scandalously_hush_up_1042969.html
*Bonus: Famous convention speeches. https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/08/14/conventions-history-394912
Homework: Top Dozen Cases TBD on Sunday Show
I. SCOTUS: Petition on property seizures. https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/23/23-1050/303556/20240320160851418_44671%20pdf%20Raiola%20br.pdf
II. SCOTUS: Petition on religious schools. https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/23/23-1084/306757/20240404142130650_Hile%20v%20State%20of%20Michigan%20-%20Cert%20Petition%20and%20Appendix.pdf
III. Athletes as employees. https://www2.ca3.uscourts.gov/opinarch/221223p.pdf
IV. The 13th juror. https://www.tncourts.gov/sites/default/files/OpinionsPDFVersion/Majority%20Opinion%20-%20%20M2021-01350-SC-R11-CV.pdf
V. Recount limits in Michigan. https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/michigan-passes-laws-restricting-election-recounts-for-fraud-allegations-and-wide-margin-victories/
VI. Court secrecy. https://www.pacourts.us/assets/opinions/superior/out/J-S99001-23o.pdf
VII. Recording as speech. https://www.law.georgetown.edu/georgetown-law-journal/wp-content/uploads/sites/26/2019/11/Recording-as-Heckling.pdf
VIII. Pennsylvania bans on court recording. https://www.law.georgetown.edu/icap/wp-content/uploads/sites/32/2019/09/Wittman-Motion-to-Quash.pdf
IX. Tweets as speech. https://www.law.georgetown.edu/icap/wp-content/uploads/sites/32/2021/05/ECF-19_Pls.-Br.-in-Oppn-to-MTD.pdf
X. Negligent hiring. https://www.courthousenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/MN-Negligent-Selection-Tort-Order.pdf
XI. Legal limits on Biden $. https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-has-100-million-reasons-to-stay-in-election-finance-d8a2dfdf?mod=opinion_lead_pos5
XII. Legal limits on Biden ballot access. https://x.com/OversightPR/status/1805239354505257196
Closing Argument: The 2024 Swing Voters
As the Convention approaches, the KYA of American politics – Know Your Audience – comes central. The VP pick, the convention speeches, and viral moments from the convention shape the core narrative to the voter groups deciding the election. The “swing voters” are voters who are undecided on whether to vote and whom to vote for. Who are these voters?
1776 Law Center commissioned a survey to uncover who these voters are. One-in-5 voters are uncommitted to any Presidential candidate and admitted they are considering multiple options, including whether to vote for Trump or Biden or Kennedy. Of note, half the country excluded voting for each of the candidates; about 40% committed to voting for Trump; about 40% committed to voting for Biden; 5% committed to voting for Kennedy. Half the country said they are considering voting for Trump, Biden or Kennedy. Who are the 20% uncommitted?
First, the swing voter is a self-described independent who does not lean toward either party and tends to describe their ideology as “none of the above” or “moderate.” They disproportionately admit they have skipped voting in past elections and voting for third party or independent candidates for office.
Second, the 2024 swing voter tends more than the general voting electorate to be an ethnic minority, a younger GenX, millennial or zoomer generation, and as likely to be urban as suburban, with a slight favoritism toward being separated and having young children.
Third, the 2024 swing voter tends to be religious or spiritual, but not church-going, with a secular approach to public life but a traditional view on matters of private morals.
Fourth, the 2024 swing voter tends to not have a post-college degree or a college degree from a prestigious institution, self-identifies more as working-class than middle class, and expresses economic stress at current economic conditions and future prospects.
Fifth, the 2024 swing voter experienced above average rates of social and physical harm from the Covid19 vaccine, with half reporting someone very close to them suffering a serious or severe harm from the vaccine or discrimination from vaccine mandates.
Sixth, the 2024 swing voter expresses great skepticism toward big business, government bureaucrats, the expert class as a whole, lawyers and scientists, the press and politicians. They disproportionately obtain their information about politics from independent media platformed by social media means.
What motivates these voters? These voters listed the issues “more likely” to impact their vote as:
- the right to buy food directly from a farmer without government permission (73% of swing voters as opposed to 53% of other voters);
- the power to hold drug companies responsible for the vaccines (76% of swing voters versus 63% of other voters);
- the ability to stop censorship online (64% of swing voters versus 54% of other voters);
- the right to buy and hold bitcoin without regulation or taxation (50% of swing voters versus 30% of other voters); and
- stopping funding the war in Ukraine (55% of swing voters versus 30% of other voters).
The 2024 swing voter mirrors the populist proclivities of past swing voter constituencies with the issues shifting to those issues impacting their day-to-day life – economic opportunity without discrimination based on medical choices; remedy for the harm from bad products; access to good food from the producer of that food; access to financial self-improvement outside central bank control; and funds for projects at home rather than wars abroad.
The party and candidate that targets this swing voter best in 2024 enjoys the best chance to win election in 2024.