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Barnes Brief: Sunday, March 12, 2023
March 12, 2023
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Barnes Brief

Schedule This Week

No Sunday show this week.

Bourbon w/ Barnes: Monday at 6 pm eastern; Tuesday & Thursday at 9 pm eastern.

Sidebar: Wednesday at 7 w/ Garland Nixon.

Last Week: Kim Iverson & Refuge of Sinners along w/ Redacted

Introduction: Top 10 Headlines

  • Debate starts over bailing out uninsured deposit holders at Silicon Valley Bank that went bust, as concerns rise over the state of First Republic Bank.
  • DeSantis moves toward announcing a 2024 bid challenging Trump.
  • More countries, even lefty European nations, conclude gender intervention in minors is not based on any good medical evidence.
  • Inventory bullwhip effect starting to show up in employment.
  • China brokers peace deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
  • RFK announces his possible campaign, testing public support, focusing on “my top priority will be to end the corrupt merger between state and corporate power.”
  • Stanford Law harasses federal Judge with woke struggle session.
  • 1/6 Prison Choir song w/ Trump hits #1 on iTunes.
  • China toys recalled after kids’ deaths.
  • Deep State plans on Deep Fakes for psyops.
  • Gun sanctuary law struck down.
  • Banning drag shows for kids catches on.

Wisdom of the Day: “Repay them according to their deeds.” Psalm 28:4.

The Evidence: Barnes Daily Curated Library

The New McCarthyism. https://thehill.com/opinion/judiciary/3895242-post-decency-politics-house-democrats-use-a-hearing-to-attack-free-speech-and-a-free-press/

Gun control is racist. https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/commentary/inq2/black-gun-owners-philadelphia-second-ammendment-20230309.html

Inside rail car derailment debacle. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2023/03/a_tale_of_two_train_wrecks_the_east_palestine_disaster_response.html

Why banks collapsed? https://www.coindesk.com/consensus-magazine/2023/03/10/a-tale-of-2-banks-why-silvergate-and-silicon-valley-bank-collapsed/

End to Airline consolidation? https://mattstoller.substack.com/p/an-end-to-airline-consolidation

Censorship Industrial Complex. https://public.substack.com/p/exposed-americas-secret-censorship

Elites scared of populists’ efficacy. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/369130819_They_are_all_against_us_The_effects_of_populist_blame_attributions_to_political_corporate_and_scientific_elites

Embryo as property? https://www.foxnews.com/politics/virginia-judge-uses-slavery-era-law-argue-human-embryos-considered-property

Central issue of 2024: democracy or deep state? https://www.lewrockwell.com/lrc-blog/the-central-issue-of-campaign-2024-the-deep-state/

What is the EuroDollar?

*Bonus: My father's favorite.

Closing Argument: A Reasoned Rant

  • I favor picking candidates based on probable impact on society. Let me given an example: abortion. If the goal is to reduce the number of abortions, then which policy best reduces actual abortions? This came to attention after watching abortion rates decline more under Clinton than they had under his pro-life predecessors. For example, guess which Governor has seen a rise in abortions during his term, and which Governor has seen a decline in abortions during his term? The two most prominent Governors – DeSantis and Newsom. But abortions rose under DeSantis while fell under Newsome. Why? Abortion laws often make less difference on abortion rates than policies that give generous benefits to single mothers.
  • In the same vein, I focus on the actual consequences of probable policies. I voted Trump believing he could at least stop the bleeding: no new wars and no new bad trade. Trump delivered even more: not only no new wars (despite repeat efforts to bait him into military interventions in Ukraine, Iran, Syria, Taiwan and Venezuela), but also tearing up old bad trade deals, renegotiating NAFTA for more favorable terms to America, and imposing tariffs on China. I see immigration as part of this, and Trump did more to reduce illegal immigration than any President since a century ago.
  • I’ve enjoyed success forecasting the likely consequences and enacted policies of politicians for some time, after I got burned as a kid, first believing in a Bush then a Clinton. It taught me a lifetimes lesson to assess the real probabilistic enacted policies of candidates if elected, and what to look for to make that forecast.
  • That’s why I am an increasing skeptic of DeSantis. His Deep State recruit resume screams warning alarms, with his Yale fraternity ties to Skull & Bones favorite fraternity, his recruitment as a young teacher at an elite prep school, Harvard Law, Guantanamo & Fallujah Navy assignments, gig at the US Attorneys’ office, early John Bolton endorsement for his first Congressional bid, and his atrocious Congressional record – supported Maidan coup, aligned with neocons like Arkansas Senator Cotton, embraced Paul Ryan budgets (called for massive cuts in Social security), opposed using tariffs in trade policy, continued to back the Iraq War into 2012, criticized Trump for not being more pro-intervention in Ukraine, suggested his own support for further intervention in Venezuela, and won the backing of the billionaire oligarch donor class of Trump haters. There’s a reason DeSantis calls the Bush family his “heroes.”
  • There’s another reason though: likely voter reactions to DeSantis. Republicans quickly forgot why Democrats loved the electoral college before 2016 – it gave Democrats an edge with their Blue Wall in the industrial Midwest. The Bush coalition is dead: the Bushs killed it. As is, the Bush coalition was on bordered time, due to its own embrace of illegal immigration in the southwest and the shifting cultural tides amongst the millennial professional class toward the left. Remove Virginia and Colorado (two states best reflective of the latter), and DeSantis could win every Bush 2004 state (even Iowa and Ohio, two states that would be much more competitive than it was for Democrats under Trump), and still lose the election. Trump broke the electoral college edge. How? Trade and war. Trump won over working class, less-religious voters in the industrial Midwest and southwest, as the loud New Yawker that would break some eggs when eggs need breaking, but shift Presidential policy away from the wars that shipped their kids overseas and the trade policies that shipped their jobs overseas. DeSantis’ Bush-style policies on war and trade doom his candidacy in any general election, even without considering the backlash amongst Trump primary voters likely to occur were he to be seen as the cause of Trump’s loss in the primaries.
  • This is why, if you want Biden replaced, it’s still Trump 2024.
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